Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AAVE prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-04 110.411979 126.310100 144.526366 167.129731 194.685173 227.528450 2.701580e+02
2025-05-11 88.482284 108.502962 133.747478 168.614229 216.679405 282.450758 3.827336e+02
2025-05-18 74.924892 95.970091 124.185535 166.052645 228.972525 324.368323 4.896995e+02
2025-05-25 66.877013 88.663069 119.346102 167.660273 245.858983 375.857495 6.303943e+02
2025-06-01 60.298020 82.156447 114.184585 167.148727 258.458281 423.144295 7.845636e+02
2025-06-08 54.639010 76.115896 108.623245 164.631210 266.573969 464.279298 9.471067e+02
2025-06-15 51.816779 73.896170 108.493277 170.824652 291.369251 545.631787 1.253202e+03
2025-06-22 46.823897 67.733929 101.201711 163.201039 287.828704 565.629460 1.411782e+03
2025-06-29 43.735745 64.271338 97.925883 162.261962 297.464879 619.154442 1.714801e+03
2025-07-06 41.154422 61.367985 95.233928 161.930386 308.241484 679.685927 2.101792e+03
2025-07-13 40.321785 61.262066 97.359249 171.280566 343.051313 820.211987 2.992964e+03
2025-07-20 39.841657 61.685412 100.446940 183.101234 387.296557 1014.119906 4.534462e+03
2025-07-27 37.328043 58.540213 96.936049 181.150028 398.484462 1116.896257 5.895680e+03
2025-08-03 35.445358 56.381888 95.125543 182.846566 420.909992 1280.559608 8.409113e+03
2025-08-10 33.285082 53.520868 91.607404 179.995218 429.619225 1398.846544 1.120201e+04
2025-08-17 31.816078 51.799488 90.156222 181.785047 453.190524 1606.152384 1.692876e+04
2025-08-24 30.267513 49.795365 87.903172 181.215463 469.319723 1796.959947 2.510730e+04
2025-08-31 28.667882 47.568586 84.958284 178.413229 477.265644 1956.017592 3.611401e+04
2025-09-07 28.012514 47.103905 85.684782 185.309829 522.503663 2403.826105 7.768585e+04
2025-09-14 26.201495 44.248642 80.972751 176.821993 507.439616 2430.265155 9.861707e+04
2025-09-21 25.099125 42.724698 79.053481 175.777428 521.543751 2700.851740 1.823404e+05
2025-09-28 24.130586 41.401844 77.459311 175.408656 538.614858 3032.199171 4.035671e+05
2025-10-05 23.954648 41.662642 79.460763 185.817864 606.962104 4006.237075 4.288134e+06